Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Apr 5, 2026 1.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • David 61' goal
  • Marino Hinestroza 70' yellowcard
  • Nuno Moreira 70' yellowcard
  • Claudio Spinelli 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Caio Roque 46'
  • yellowcard Lucas Villalba 60'
  • goal Lucas Villalba 66'
  • yellowcard Kadir Barría 68'
  • yellowcard Álvaro Montoro 68'
  • yellowcard Kadir Barría 69'
  • yellowcard Álvaro Montoro 69'
  • goal Matheus Martins 79'
  • yellowcard Newton  88'

Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Apr 2, 2026 12.30am
Coritiba 1 - 1 Vasco
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Cauan Barros

Botafogo

All competitions
Last game
Apr 1, 2026 11.30pm
Botafogo 3 - 2 Mirassol
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Danilo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.19% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 19.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%) , while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result

Vasco da Gama 55.17% (-0.08)
Draw 25.19% (+0.05)
Botafogo 19.64% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.51% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.2% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 27.8% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 46.78% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 53.22% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 24.91% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 75.06% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 13.91% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 86.09% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Vasco da Gama 36.38% (+0.17)
Draw 43.57% (-0.03)
Botafogo 20.05% (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Vasco da Gama 58.35% (+0.24)
No Goal 7.87% (+0.04)
Botafogo 33.78% (-0.26)

Corners

Over 8 59.78% (-0.15)
Equal 8 11.56% (+0.01)
Under 8 28.66% (+0.15)
Over 9 47.82% (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.96% (-0.01)
Under 9 40.22% (+0.15)
Over 10.5 36.5% (-0.14)
Under 10.5 63.5% (+0.14)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 1.5 48.6% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 51.4% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 22.12% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 77.88% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 8.24% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 91.76% (+0.04)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 54.67% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 45.33% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 20.65% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 79.35% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 5.63% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 94.37% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.23%
Under 3.5 98.77%

Score analysis

Vasco da Gama 55.17%
Draw 25.18%
Botafogo 19.64%
Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 13.2% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.51% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 10.2% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.57%
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.03)
Other @ 8.17% (-0.03)
Total : 55.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.99% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.87% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 25.18%
Botafogo
0-1 @ 6.72% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.22% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.93%
1-3 @ 1.42%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 19.64%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 5, 2025 10.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Copa do Brasil
Sep 12, 2025 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET
Copa do Brasil
Aug 28, 2025 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Jul 12, 2025 10.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Nov 6, 2024 12.30am
3
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Jefferson Savarino 9' goal
  • Jefferson Savarino 9' goal
  • Luiz Henrique 12' goal
  • Luiz Henrique 12' goal
  • Junior Santos 71' goal
  • Junior Santos 71' goal
  • yellowcard Joao Victor 37'
  • yellowcard Joao Victor 37'
  • redcard Joao Victor 44'
  • redcard Joao Victor 44'
  • yellowcard Paulo Henrique 86'
  • yellowcard Paulo Henrique 86'
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Jun 29, 2024 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Victor Luis 34' yellowcard
  • Hugo Moura 40' yellowcard
  • Joao Victor 77' yellowcard
  • Pablo Vegetti 84' goal
  • Patrick de Paula 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bastos 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Gatito Fernandez Torres 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Junior Santos 59'
  • goal Bastos 73'
  • yellowcard Damian Suarez 89'
  • yellowcard Patrick de Paula 90'+3'