Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 4
May 5, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Centenario

Juventud vs Atletico Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventud

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 29, 2026 11.00pm
Juventud 4 - 0 Puerto Cabello

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 1.30am
Cienciano 1 - 0 Atletico Mineiro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Juventud has a probability of 32.39% and a draw has a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Juventud win is 1-0 (9.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.43%).

Result

Juventud 32.39% (-0.21)
Draw 26.74% (-0.22)
Atletico Mineiro 40.88% (+0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.14% (+1.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.94% (+0.90)
Under 1.5 29.06% (-0.91)
Over 2.5 46.24% (+0.53)
Under 2.5 53.76% (-0.53)
Over 3.5 25.8% (+0.63)
Under 3.5 74.2% (-0.63)
Over 4.5 14.33% (+0.55)
Under 4.5 85.67% (-0.54)

First Half Winner

Juventud 23.82% (-2.06)
Draw 46.93% (+1.59)
Atletico Mineiro 29.25% (+0.47)

Team To Score First

Juventud 40.13% (-1.40)
No Goal 8.63% (-0.51)
Atletico Mineiro 51.24% (+1.90)

Corners

Over 8 46.02% (-4.72)
Equal 8 12.49% (+0.36)
Under 8 41.48% (+4.34)
Over 9 34.42% (-4.63)
Equal 9 11.6% (-0.09)
Under 9 53.98% (+4.72)
Over 10.5 24.54% (-4.16)
Under 10.5 75.46% (+4.16)

Juventud Goals

Over 1.5 31.29% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 68.71% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 11.46% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 88.54% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.69% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 96.31% (+0.18)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 71.03% (+1.08)
Under 0.5 28.97% (-1.08)
Over 1.5 37.56% (+0.64)
Under 1.5 62.44% (-0.64)
Over 2.5 15.4% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 84.6% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 5.11% (+0.41)
Under 3.5 94.89% (-0.41)

Score analysis

Juventud 32.38%
Draw 26.75%
Atletico Mineiro 40.88%
Juventud
1-0 @ 9.37% (-0.36)
2-1 @ 7.08% (+0.16)
2-0 @ 5.37% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 2.89% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.06% (+0.16)
3-0 @ 1.93% (-0.20)
Other @ 3.68% (-0.17)
Total : 32.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43% (+0.29)
0-0 @ 8.63% (-0.51)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.75%
Atletico Mineiro
0-1 @ 11.07% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 8.42% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 6.89% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.8% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.19)
2-3 @ 2.59% (+0.05)
Other @ 5.1% (+0.40)
Total : 40.88%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 2
Apr 16, 2026 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Bernard 43' goal
  • Cauã Soares 60' yellowcard
  • Bernard 60' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Scarpa 60' yellowcard
  • Hulk  60' yellowcard
  • Dudu 70' yellowcard
  • Mateo Cassierra 70' yellowcard
  • Alexsander  84' yellowcard
  • Mateo Cassierra 90' goal
  • goal Facundo Pérez 55'
  • yellowcard Sebastián Guerrero 60'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Gómez 61'
  • yellowcard Leonel Roldán 68'
  • yellowcard Gastón Pereiro 84'
  • yellowcard Pablo Lago 84'
  • yellowcard Alejo Cruz 84'