Brasileiro Gameweek 14
May 3, 2026 1.00am
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Cruzeiro vs Atletico Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 10.30pm
Remo 0 - 1 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Christian

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2026 12.30am
Atletico Mineiro 0 - 4 Flamengo
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Victor Hugo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 53.37%. A draw has a probability of 24.96% and a win for Atletico Mineiro has a probability of 21.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.3%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.02%) , while for a Atletico Mineiro win it is 0-1 (7.02%).

Result

Cruzeiro 53.37% (+0.20)
Draw 24.96% (-0.08)
Atletico Mineiro 21.67% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.08% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.76% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 28.24% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 46.64% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 53.36% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 24.13% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 75.87% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.51% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 86.49% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Cruzeiro 38.2%
Draw 42.73%
Atletico Mineiro 19.06%

Team To Score First

Cruzeiro 59.72%
No Goal 7.97% (-0.02)
Atletico Mineiro 32.31% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.75%
Equal 8 12.05%
Under 8 29.19%
Over 9 46.34%
Equal 9 12.42%
Under 9 41.25%
Over 10.5 34.7%
Under 10.5 65.3%

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 1.5 46.45% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 53.55% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 20.75% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 79.25% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 7.67% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 92.33% (-0.08)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 55.94% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 44.06% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 21.89% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 78.11% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 6.57% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 93.43% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 1.52% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.48% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Cruzeiro 53.37%
Draw 24.96%
Atletico Mineiro 21.66%
Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 13.24% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 10.3%
2-0 @ 9.87% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.35% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.71% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.28%
Other @ 7.62% (+0.08)
Total : 53.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.97% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 24.96%
Atletico Mineiro
0-1 @ 7.02% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.61% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.25% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.47% (-0.02)
Total : 21.66%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Oct 16, 2025 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Copa do Brasil
Sep 11, 2025 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Copa do Brasil
Aug 27, 2025 11.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
May 19, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Matheus Pereira 32' yellowcard
  • Matheus Pereira 32' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rony 14'
  • yellowcard Rony 14'
  • yellowcard Junior Alonso 40'
  • yellowcard Junior Alonso 40'
  • yellowcard Lyanco 46'
  • yellowcard Lyanco 46'
  • yellowcard Fausto Vera 85'
  • yellowcard Fausto Vera 85'
  • yellowcard Junior Santos 88'
  • yellowcard Junior Santos 88'
Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Aug 11, 2024 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Kaio Jorge 43' yellowcard
  • Kaio Jorge 43' yellowcard
  • Carlos Eduardo Amaral Pereira de Castro 57' yellowcard
  • Carlos Eduardo Amaral Pereira de Castro 57' yellowcard
  • Matheus Henrique 86' yellowcard
  • Matheus Henrique 86' yellowcard
  • goal 8'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Barreal 60'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Barreal 60'
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Apr 21, 2024 1.00am
3
0
HT : 6 0
FT Estadio Raimundo Sampaio
  • Matias Zaracho 25' goal
  • Matias Zaracho 25' goal
  • Paulinho 35' goal
  • Paulinho 35' goal
  • Guilherme Arana 45'+2' goal
  • Guilherme Arana 45'+2' goal
  • Paulinho 68' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 68' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Lemos 89' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Lemos 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Marcelo 65'
  • yellowcard Joao Marcelo 65'
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva 72'
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva 72'