Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (9.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.