Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Gama had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Gama win was 1-0 (12.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.