Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gama win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.16% and a win for Monte Roraima had a probability of 21.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%) , while for a Monte Roraima win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.