Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maringa win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Goias had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 29.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maringa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Goias win was 0-1 (10.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.