Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maringa win with a probability of 53.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.43% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maringa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%) , while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.