Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 79.98%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Maringa had a probability of 6.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.2%) and 1-0 (11.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.49%), while for a Maringa win it was 0-1 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.