Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maringa win with a probability of 57.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.24% and a win for Uberlandia had a probability of 18.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maringa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%) , while for a Uberlandia win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.