Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Retro win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Uberlandia had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Retro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Uberlandia win was 0-1 (9.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.