Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 3
Apr 30, 2026 1.30am
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega

Cienciano vs Atletico Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cienciano

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 17, 2026 3.00am
Cienciano 2 - 0 Puerto Cabello

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 16, 2026 11.00pm
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 1 Juventud

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cienciano win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Atletico Mineiro has a probability of 25.32% and a draw has a probability of 25.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cienciano win is 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win is 0-1 (6.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.69%).

Result

Cienciano 49.56%
Draw 25.12% (+0.04)
Atletico Mineiro 25.32%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.78% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.26% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 24.74% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 51.36% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 48.64% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 28.72% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 71.28% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.57% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.43% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Cienciano 36.93%
Draw 41.01% (+0.01)
Atletico Mineiro 22.07%

Team To Score First

Cienciano 54.7% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.86% (+0.02)
Atletico Mineiro 38.44% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 48.94% (+0.02)
Equal 8 12.18%
Under 8 38.88% (-0.02)
Over 9 37.35% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.58%
Under 9 51.06% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 27.24% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 72.76% (-0.01)

Cienciano Goals

Over 1.5 47.03% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 52.97% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 21.77% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 78.23% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 8.32% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.68% (+0.02)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 60.74% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 39.26% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 27.64% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 72.36% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 9.87% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 90.13% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.8% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.2% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Cienciano 49.55%
Draw 25.11%
Atletico Mineiro 25.31%
Cienciano
1-0 @ 11% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.74%
2-0 @ 8.55% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.8%
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 8.02% (-0.01)
Total : 49.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.69%
0-0 @ 6.86% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 25.11%
Atletico Mineiro
0-1 @ 6.85% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.42%
0-2 @ 3.68%
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.5% (-0.01)
Total : 25.31%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
May 30, 2025 1.30am
1
1
HT : 3 2
FT Arena MRV
  • Rony 10' goal
  • Lyanco 43' goal
  • Lyanco 43' goal
  • Patrick Roberto da Silva Campos 57' yellowcard
  • Patrick Roberto da Silva Campos 57' yellowcard
  • Hulk 72' yellowcard
  • Hulk 72' yellowcard
  • goal Christian Cueva 45'+7'
  • goal Christian Cueva 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Santiago Arias 69'
  • yellowcard Santiago Arias 69'
Copa Sudamericana
Apr 2, 2025 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
  • Alexi Gomez 20' yellowcard
  • Alexi Gomez 20' yellowcard
  • Danilo Ortiz 74' yellowcard
  • Danilo Ortiz 74' yellowcard
  • Carlos Garces 79' yellowcard
  • Carlos Garces 79' yellowcard
  • Claudio Torrejon 84' yellowcard
  • Claudio Torrejon 84' yellowcard