Copa Sudamericana
-
Santiago Arias
46'
-
Kevin Becerra
51'
-
Rotceh Aguilar
66'
-
Matías Succar
70'
-
Gonzalo Aguirre
90'
-
Jhonny Vidales
58'
-
Matias Zegarra
58'
-
Lautaro Guzmán
70'
-
Alejandro Ramos
72'
-
Pablo Erustes
78'
-
Jeriel De Santis
78'
Cienciano vs Melgar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cienciano win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cienciano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.07%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Melgar win was 0-1 (6.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result
Cienciano
51.57%
▲
(+0.36)
Draw
23.99%
▼
(-0.12)
Melgar
24.47%
▼
(-0.23)
Both Teams to Score:
54.48%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 1.5
77.41%
Under 1.5
22.59%
Over 2.5
54.06%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
45.94%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
30.97%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
69.03%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 4.5
18.21%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
81.79%
▲
(+0.03)
First Half Winner
Cienciano
40.03%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
39.9%
Melgar
20.07%
▼
(-0.04)
Team To Score First
Cienciano
60.13%
▼
(-0.01)
No Goal
6.1%
▼
(-0.02)
Melgar
33.77%
▲
(+0.03)
Corners
Over 8
48.29%
▲
(+0.08)
Equal 8
11.94%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 8
39.76%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 9
36.99%
▲
(+0.11)
Equal 9
11.3%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 9
51.71%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 10.5
27.14%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 10.5
72.86%
▼
(-0.15)
Cienciano Goals
Over 1.5
49.97%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
50.03%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 2.5
24.17%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 2.5
75.83%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 3.5
9.55%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 3.5
90.45%
▼
(-0.07)
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5
60.72%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 0.5
39.28%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 1.5
27.73%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 1.5
72.27%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 2.5
9.56%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 2.5
90.44%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 3.5
2.76%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
97.24%
▲
(+0.06)
Score analysis
Cienciano
51.59%
Draw
23.99%
Melgar
24.46%
Cienciano
1-0
@
10.13%
▲
(+0.08)
2-1 @ 10.07% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 9.39% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 51.59%
2-1 @ 10.07% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 9.39% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 51.59%
Draw
1-1
@
11.25%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.99%
0-0 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.99%
Melgar
0-1
@
6.4%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 24.46%
1-2 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 24.46%
Head to Head
-
Alexis Cossio
38'
-
Paolo Fuentes
45'
-
Josue Estrada
48'
-
Josue Estrada
48'
-
Angel Romero
51'
-
Fernando Emanuel Ibanez
90'+3'
-
Emanuel Ibanez
90'+3'
-
Alec Deneumostier
14'
-
Bernardo Cuesta
23'
-
Horacio Orzan
29'
-
Walter Tandazo
40'
-
Bernardo Cuesta
45'+2'