Club Friendlies 3
Jan 20, 2026 12.00am
3
1
HT : 3 2
FT Estadio Monumental
  • Matias Di Benedetto 5' goal
  • 41' goal
  • 45' goal
  • goal Matías Di Benedetto 15'
  • goal 45'

Universitario vs Melgar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Universitario

All competitions

Melgar

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 7.30pm
Melgar 2 - 0 UCV Moquegua

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 59.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Melgar had a probability of 17.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (11.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%) , while for a Melgar win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Universitario 59.13% (+0.36)
Draw 23.6% (-0.25)
Melgar 17.32% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.08% (-0.24)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.53% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 25.47% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 49.63% (+0.39)
Under 2.5 50.37% (-0.39)
Over 3.5 27.46% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 72.54% (-0.27)
Over 4.5 16.12% (+0.20)
Under 4.5 83.88% (-0.19)

First Half Winner

Universitario 44.07% (+1.50)
Draw 40.99% (-0.63)
Melgar 14.93% (-0.89)

Team To Score First

Universitario 63.8% (+0.08)
No Goal 7.05% (-0.11)
Melgar 29.15% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 46.39% (-0.01)
Equal 8 12.36% (-0.01)
Under 8 41.24% (+0.02)
Over 9 34.88%
Equal 9 11.52%
Under 9 53.61% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 25.03% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 74.97% (+0.02)

Universitario Goals

Over 1.5 53.34% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 46.66% (-0.37)
Over 2.5 25.27% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 74.73% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 10.01% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 89.99% (-0.08)

Melgar Goals

Over 0.5 53.44%
Under 0.5 46.56%
Over 1.5 19.61% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 80.39% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 5.2% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 94.8% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.25% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.75% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Universitario 59.14%
Draw 23.6%
Melgar 17.32%
Universitario
1-0 @ 12.45% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 11.19% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 11.14% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 6.03% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.51% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.92% (+0.09)
Other @ 9.9% (+0.09)
Total : 59.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.11% (-0.01)
Total : 23.6%
Melgar
0-1 @ 6.03% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 4.44% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.34% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.25% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.14% (+0.02)
Total : 17.32%