Club Friendlies 3
Jan 17, 2026 7.30pm
2
0
HT :
2
0
FT
Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín
-
45'
-
45'
Melgar vs UCV Moquegua - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 81.01%. A draw had a probability of 13.72% and a win for UCV Moquegua had a probability of 5.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.13%) and 3-0 (11.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%) , while for a UCV Moquegua win it was 0-1 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood.
Result
Melgar
81.01%
▼
(-0.10)
Draw
13.72%
▲
(+0.09)
UCV Moquegua
5.26%
▲
(+0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
41.91%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 1.5
79.43%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
20.57%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
55.73%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
44.27%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
32.52%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
67.48%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 4.5
24.12%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 4.5
75.88%
▲
(+0.09)
First Half Winner
Melgar
62.65%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
30.03%
▲
(+0.04)
UCV Moquegua
7.32%
Team To Score First
Melgar
80.22%
▲
(+0.07)
No Goal
4.88%
▲
(+0.02)
UCV Moquegua
14.9%
▼
(-0.09)
Corners
Over 8
47.82%
▼
(-0.05)
Equal 8
11.99%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 8
40.18%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 9
36.52%
▼
(-0.02)
Equal 9
11.3%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 9
52.17%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 10.5
26.71%
Under 10.5
73.29%
Melgar Goals
Over 1.5
69.74%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
30.26%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 2.5
42.41%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 2.5
57.59%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 3.5
22.12%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 3.5
77.88%
▲
(+0.09)
UCV Moquegua Goals
Over 0.5
32.48%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 0.5
67.52%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 1.5
6.37%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
93.63%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 2.5
0.22%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
99.78%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
0.02%
Under 3.5
99.98%
Score analysis
Melgar
81.02%
Draw
13.74%
UCV Moquegua
5.29%
Melgar
2-0
@
15.76%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 13.13% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 11.69% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.74% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 22.11% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 81.02%
1-0 @ 13.13% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 11.69% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.74% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 22.11% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 81.02%
Draw
1-1
@
7.08%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 13.74%
0-0 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 13.74%
UCV Moquegua
0-1
@
2.61%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 5.29%
1-2 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 5.29%