Vasco da Gama vs Melgar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Melgar win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.