Puerto Cabello
0 - 1
Melgar

Casiani (84'), Casiani (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cabrera (51' pen., 51' pen.)
Daniel Llontop Diaz (62'), Daniel Llontop Diaz (62')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Academia Puerto Cabello and Melgar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Academia Puerto Cabello

Last Game: Puerto Cabello 4-1 Vasco
Wednesday, May 7 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Melgar

Last Game: Melgar 0-1 Lanus
Wednesday, May 7 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Academia Puerto Cabello win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Melgar in this match.

Result
Academia Puerto Cabello	Draw	Melgar
33.66%	27.38% ( 0)	38.97%

Both teams to score 49.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.94%

56.06% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.86%

77.14% (

Academia Puerto Cabello Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.73%

31.27% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.37%

67.63% (

Melgar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.99%

28.01% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.34%

63.66%

Score Analysis

Academia Puerto Cabello 33.65%

Melgar 38.96%

Draw 27.37%

Academia Puerto Cabello	Draw	Melgar
1-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 7.53% 2-0 @ 5.92% 3-1 @ 2.92% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.96% Total : 33.65%	1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 8.76% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.37%	0-1 @ 11.14% 1-2 @ 8.25% 0-2 @ 7.09% 1-3 @ 3.5% 0-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.87% Total : 38.96%