Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 74.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Cienciano had a probability of 9.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.37%) and 3-0 (10.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Cienciano win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.