Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 16, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega

Cienciano
4 - 0
Deportes Iquique

Gentile (21', 21', 41', 41'), Noronha (39', 39', 48', 48')
Luis Ortiz Perez (55'), Luis Ortiz Perez (55'), Arias (65'), Arias (65'), Benites (73'), Benites (73'), Valoyes (84'), Valoyes (84')
FT(HT: 6-0)

Soto (26'), Soto (26')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Cienciano and Deportes Iquique.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cienciano

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Last Game: Cienciano 3-1 Caracas
Friday, May 9 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
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Deportes Iquique

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Last Game: Deportes Iquique 3-2 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, May 8 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cienciano win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Deportes Iquique had a probability of 19.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cienciano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Deportes Iquique win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cienciano would win this match.

Result
CiencianoDrawDeportes Iquique
58.26% (-0.162 -0.16)22.2% (0.077000000000002 0.08)19.54% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 53.53% (-0.114 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.06% (-0.219 -0.22)44.93% (0.217 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.71% (-0.211 -0.21)67.29% (0.20999999999999 0.21)
Cienciano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.88% (-0.128 -0.13)15.12% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.32% (-0.241 -0.24)43.68% (0.239 0.24)
Deportes Iquique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.07% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)36.93% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.28% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)73.72% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Cienciano 58.25%
    Deportes Iquique 19.54%
    Draw 22.19%
CiencianoDrawDeportes Iquique
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.96% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 6.28% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.25% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.96% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 58.25%
1-1 @ 10.5% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.58% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.19%
0-1 @ 5.56% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.23% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.77% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 19.54%

Head to Head
Apr 25, 2025 1.30am
Group Stage
Deportes Iquique
2-2
Cienciano
Patricio Pino Briceno (29'), Fuentes (65')
Patricio Pino Briceno (42'), Andres Parraguez Herrera (78'), Daniel Requena (90+7')
Gentile (24'), Garces (90+9')
Cavero (81'), Torrejon (85')