Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cienciano win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Deportes Iquique had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cienciano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Deportes Iquique win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cienciano would win this match.