Club Friendlies 3
Jan 25, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín
  • Matías Zegarra 31' goal

Melgar vs Macara - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melgar

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 12.00am
Universitario 3 - 1 Melgar

Macara

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 62.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.47% and a win for Macara had a probability of 14.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (11.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%) , while for a Macara win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result

Melgar 62.36% (+0.08)
Draw 23.47% (+0.11)
Macara 14.18% (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.8% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.76% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 27.24% (+0.36)
Over 2.5 47.98% (-0.35)
Under 2.5 52.02% (+0.35)
Over 3.5 25.09% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 74.91% (+0.29)
Over 4.5 15.19% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 84.81% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Melgar 43.9% (-0.47)
Draw 41.7% (+1.84)
Macara 14.41% (-1.36)

Team To Score First

Melgar 66.97% (+0.66)
No Goal 7.71% (+0.17)
Macara 25.32% (-0.83)

Corners

Over 8 61.53% (+0.13)
Equal 8 10.85%
Under 8 27.62% (-0.13)
Over 9 50.16% (+0.12)
Equal 9 11.38% (+0.03)
Under 9 38.47% (-0.13)
Over 10.5 39.19% (+0.09)
Under 10.5 60.81% (-0.09)

Melgar Goals

Over 1.5 53.45% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 46.55% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 26.17% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 73.83% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 10.94% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 89.06% (-0.01)

Macara Goals

Over 0.5 48.79% (-0.44)
Under 0.5 51.21% (+0.44)
Over 1.5 15.9% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 84.1% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 3.4% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 96.6% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 0.62% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 99.38% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Melgar 62.37%
Draw 23.47%
Macara 14.17%
Melgar
1-0 @ 14.18% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 11.72% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 11.1% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 6.81% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.01)
Other @ 10.8%
Total : 62.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.14% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.71% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.02)
Total : 23.47%
Macara
0-1 @ 5.36% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.29% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 1.92% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.48% (-0.06)
Total : 14.17%