Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventud win with a probability of 49.44%. A draw had a probability of 27.91% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventud win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%) , while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.