Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Caracas had a probability of 26.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Caracas win was 1-0 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.