Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caracas win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caracas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Metropolitanos win was 0-1 (9.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.