Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 30, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV

Caracas
2 - 1
Deportes Iquique

Covea (26', 26'), Celestino Tegues Hernandez (34', 34')
Manuel Hernandez Chavez (28'), Manuel Hernandez Chavez (28'), Celestino Tegues Hernandez (35'), Celestino Tegues Hernandez (35')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Alejandro Gonzalez Ramirez (54', 54')
Alejandro Gonzalez Ramirez (90+6'), Alejandro Gonzalez Ramirez (90+6')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Caracas and Deportes Iquique.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caracas

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Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-1 Caracas
Friday, May 16 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Deportes Iquique

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Last Game: Cienciano 4-0 Deportes Iquique
Friday, May 16 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caracas win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Deportes Iquique had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caracas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Deportes Iquique win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caracas would win this match.

Result
CaracasDrawDeportes Iquique
46.55% (-0.88 -0.88)26.63% (0.313 0.31)26.82% (0.573 0.57)
Both teams to score 48.56% (-0.457 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.26% (-0.812 -0.81)55.74% (0.816 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.12% (-0.666 -0.67)76.88% (0.67100000000001 0.67)
Caracas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07% (-0.76000000000001 -0.76)23.93% (0.765 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.85% (-1.102 -1.1)58.15% (1.107 1.11)
Deportes Iquique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.83% (0.039999999999999 0.04)36.17% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.05% (0.038 0.04)72.95% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Caracas 46.54%
    Deportes Iquique 26.82%
    Draw 26.62%
CaracasDrawDeportes Iquique
1-0 @ 12.37% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-0 @ 8.85% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.29% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-0 @ 4.22% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 46.54%
1-1 @ 12.58% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.65% (0.269 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 8.8% (0.281 0.28)
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.48% (0.148 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 26.82%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2025 11pm
Group Stage
Deportes Iquique
1-2
Caracas
Puch (4' pen.)
Puch (36'), Andres Parraguez Herrera (90+3')
Echenique (33'), Aguilar (37')
La Mantia (3'), Heraldez Sevillano (76'), Echenique (88'), Celestino Tegues Hernandez (90+5'), Celestino Tegues Hernandez (90+5')