Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 4
May 5, 2026 11.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Olímpico Patria
  • Leonardo Montenegro 34' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Rivas 46' yellowcard
  • Wagner 46' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Rivas 55' goal
  • Jonatan Cristaldo 58' goal
  • Rafael Lutkowski 82' yellowcard
  • 83' yellowcard
  • Adelan Santos da Silva 83' yellowcard
  • goal Francisco Rodríguez 4' (OG)
  • goal Adrián Fernández 15'
  • yellowcard Lucciano Reinoso 46'
  • goal Wilfred Correa 67'
  • yellowcard Rodhier Samuel Lezama Griman 82'
  • yellowcard Sebastián González 82'
  • yellowcard 83'
  • yellowcard Sebastián González 83'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Márquez 83'
  • yellowcard Francisco La Mantía 90'+4'

Independiente Petrolero vs Caracas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Petrolero

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 28, 2026 11.00pm
Botafogo 3 - 0 Independiente Petrolero

Caracas

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 29, 2026 11.00pm
Caracas 1 - 1 Racing

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caracas win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Independiente Petrolero had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caracas win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Independiente Petrolero win was 2-1 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result

Independiente Petrolero 34.41% (+0.02)
Draw 24.64%
Caracas 40.91% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.69% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.4% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 22.6% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 53.79% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 46.21% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 31.52% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 68.48% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 17.87% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.13% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Independiente Petrolero 28.02% (-0.04)
Draw 40.57% (+0.04)
Caracas 31.41% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Independiente Petrolero 46.51% (+0.09)
No Goal 6.12%
Caracas 47.37% (-0.10)

Corners

Over 8 53.79% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.88% (-0.01)
Under 8 34.33% (+0.02)
Over 9 42.05%
Equal 9 11.74%
Under 9 46.21% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 31.41%
Under 10.5 68.59%

Independiente Petrolero Goals

Over 1.5 37.06% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 62.94% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 14.05% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 85.95% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.57% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.43% (-0.01)

Caracas Goals

Over 0.5 73.28% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 26.72% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 41.94% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 58.06% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 18.17% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 81.83% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.37% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.63% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Independiente Petrolero 34.41%
Draw 24.64%
Caracas 40.91%
Independiente Petrolero
2-1 @ 7.94% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.77% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.9%
3-1 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 2.49%
3-0 @ 2.33% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.56% (+0.01)
Total : 34.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.31%
0-0 @ 6.12%
2-2 @ 5.96%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.64%
Caracas
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.67%
0-2 @ 6.4% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.08%
Other @ 6.36% (-0.02)
Total : 40.91%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 2
Apr 15, 2026 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Olímpico de la UCV
  • Wilfred Correa 55' goal
  • Sebastián González 59' yellowcard
  • Rodhier Samuel Lezama Griman 59' yellowcard
  • Juan Uribe 71' yellowcard
  • Jesús Quintero 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adelan Santos Da Silva 57'
  • yellowcard Alan Mercado 57'
  • yellowcard 57'
  • yellowcard Wagner 82'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Cristaldo  83'
  • yellowcard Jonatan Cristaldo 86'