Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 4
May 5, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Olímpico Patria

Independiente Petrolero vs Caracas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Petrolero

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 28, 2026 11.00pm
Botafogo 3 - 0 Independiente Petrolero

Caracas

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 29, 2026 11.00pm
Caracas 1 - 1 Racing

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Caracas win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Independiente Petrolero has a probability of 34.83% and a draw has a probability of 24.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caracas win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Independiente Petrolero win is 1-0 (8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.24%).

Result

Independiente Petrolero 34.83% (+0.05)
Draw 24.89% (-0.06)
Caracas 40.28% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.6% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.35% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 22.65% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 54.62% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 45.38% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 31.98% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 68.02% (-0.17)
Over 4.5 18.17% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 81.83% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Independiente Petrolero 28.52% (-0.18)
Draw 40.55% (-0.21)
Caracas 30.93% (+0.38)

Team To Score First

Independiente Petrolero 46.6% (-0.36)
No Goal 6.13% (-0.04)
Caracas 47.27% (+0.39)

Corners

Over 8 51.7% (+0.36)
Equal 8 11.72% (-0.13)
Under 8 36.58% (-0.22)
Over 9 40.32% (+0.47)
Equal 9 11.38% (-0.10)
Under 9 48.3% (-0.36)
Over 10.5 30.15% (+0.52)
Under 10.5 69.85% (-0.53)

Independiente Petrolero Goals

Over 1.5 37.28% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 62.72% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 15.06% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 84.94% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.95% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.05% (-0.04)

Caracas Goals

Over 0.5 73.17% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 26.83% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 41.89% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 58.11% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 18.1% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 81.9% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.55% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 93.45% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Independiente Petrolero 34.83%
Draw 24.89%
Caracas 40.27%
Independiente Petrolero
1-0 @ 8% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.88%
2-0 @ 5.4% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.65% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.76% (+0.05)
Total : 34.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.13% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.01% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19% (-0.02)
Total : 24.89%
Caracas
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 8.51% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.1% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.15% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.15% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.93% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.36% (+0.05)
Total : 40.27%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 2
Apr 15, 2026 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Olímpico de la UCV
  • Wilfred Correa 55' goal
  • Sebastián González 59' yellowcard
  • Rodhier Samuel Lezama Griman 59' yellowcard
  • Juan Uribe 71' yellowcard
  • Jesús Quintero 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adelan Santos Da Silva 57'
  • yellowcard Alan Mercado 57'
  • yellowcard 57'
  • yellowcard Wagner 82'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Cristaldo  83'
  • yellowcard Jonatan Cristaldo 86'