Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 2
Apr 15, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Olímpico de la UCV

Caracas vs Independiente Petrolero - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caracas

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 11.00pm
Botafogo 1 - 1 Caracas

Independiente Petrolero

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 7, 2026 11.00pm
Independiente Petrolero 1 - 3 Racing

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Caracas win with a probability of 50.32%. A draw has a probability of 24.99% and a win for Independiente Petrolero has a probability of 24.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caracas win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.24%) , while for a Independiente Petrolero win it is 0-1 (6.75%).

Result

Caracas 50.32% (-0.15)
Draw 24.99% (+0.04)
Independiente Petrolero 24.72% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.04% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.7% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 24.3% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 52.29% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 47.71% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 30.87% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 69.13% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 18.17% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 81.83% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Caracas 33.18% (-0.03)
Draw 43.93% (-0.01)
Independiente Petrolero 22.9% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Caracas 54.65% (-0.07)
No Goal 6.94% (+0.03)
Independiente Petrolero 38.41% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 51.63% (-0.05)
Equal 8 11.85%
Under 8 36.52% (+0.06)
Over 9 40.12% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.51% (-0.01)
Under 9 48.37% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 29.84% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 70.16% (+0.04)

Caracas Goals

Over 1.5 48.46% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 51.54% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 23.39% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 76.61% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 9.68% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 90.32% (+0.03)

Independiente Petrolero Goals

Over 0.5 59.92% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 40.08% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 27.5% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 72.5% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 9.82% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 90.18% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 2.96% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.04% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Caracas 50.32%
Draw 25%
Independiente Petrolero 24.73%
Caracas
1-0 @ 10.66% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.47%
3-1 @ 5.1% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.72% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.7% (+0.02)
Other @ 9.34% (-0.05)
Total : 50.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.94% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.19% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.34% (+0.02)
Total : 25%
Independiente Petrolero
0-1 @ 6.75% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 5.99%
0-2 @ 3.7% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.31% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.98% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.62% (+0.04)
Total : 24.73%