Copa Sudamericana
Gameweek
2
-
Wilfred Correa
55'
-
Sebastián González
59'
-
Rodhier Samuel Lezama Griman
59'
-
Juan Uribe
71'
-
Jesús Quintero
78'
-
Adelan Santos Da Silva
57'
-
Alan Mercado
57'
-
57'
-
Wagner
82'
-
Gustavo Cristaldo
83'
-
Jonatan Cristaldo
86'
Caracas vs Independiente Petrolero - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caracas win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Independiente Petrolero had a probability of 25.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caracas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Independiente Petrolero win was 0-1 (7.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result
Caracas
48.52%
▼
(-0.11)
Draw
25.56%
Independiente Petrolero
25.88%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
51.12%
▼
(-0.04)
Goals
Over 1.5
74.19%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
25.81%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 2.5
50.4%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
49.6%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
28.58%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 3.5
71.42%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 4.5
16.33%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 4.5
83.67%
▲
(+0.13)
First Half Winner
Caracas
34.99%
Draw
41.89%
Independiente Petrolero
23.12%
Team To Score First
Caracas
53.48%
▼
(-0.03)
No Goal
7.44%
▲
(+0.03)
Independiente Petrolero
39.08%
Corners
Over 8
51.18%
▼
(-0.44)
Equal 8
11.98%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 8
36.84%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 9
39.59%
▼
(-0.45)
Equal 9
11.59%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 9
48.82%
▲
(+0.44)
Over 10.5
29.28%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 10.5
70.72%
▲
(+0.43)
Caracas Goals
Over 1.5
45.84%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
54.16%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 2.5
21.12%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 2.5
78.88%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 3.5
8.22%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
91.78%
▲
(+0.08)
Independiente Petrolero Goals
Over 0.5
60.75%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
39.25%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
27.7%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
72.3%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
9.71%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
90.29%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
2.74%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
97.26%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Caracas
48.52%
Draw
25.55%
Independiente Petrolero
25.89%
Caracas
1-0
@
11.08%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.27% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 48.52%
2-1 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.27% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 48.52%
Draw
1-1
@
11.63%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.44% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25.55%
0-0 @ 7.44% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25.55%
Independiente Petrolero
0-1
@
7.25%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.89%
1-2 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.89%