Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 1
Apr 9, 2026 11.00pm
Estádio Nilton Santos

Botafogo vs Caracas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions

Caracas

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Botafogo win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw has a probability of 25.12% and a win for Caracas has a probability of 22.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.85%) , while for a Caracas win it is 0-1 (7.16%).

Result

Botafogo 52.1% (+0.08)
Draw 25.12% (-0.09)
Caracas 22.77% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.61% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.88% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 27.12% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 47.74% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 52.26% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 25.85% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 74.15% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 14.5% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 85.5% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Botafogo 37.44%
Draw 41.3%
Caracas 21.26%

Team To Score First

Botafogo 57.89% (+0.21)
No Goal 7.77% (-0.06)
Caracas 34.34% (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 50.85% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.84%
Under 8 37.32% (-0.04)
Over 9 39.42% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.43% (+0.01)
Under 9 49.15% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 29.27% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 70.73% (-0.04)

Botafogo Goals

Over 1.5 46.95% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 53.05% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 21.37% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 78.63% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 7.99% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 92.01% (-0.04)

Caracas Goals

Over 0.5 57.16% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 42.84% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 23.56% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 76.44% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 7.14% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 92.86% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.77% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.23% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Botafogo 52.1%
Draw 25.13%
Caracas 22.77%
Botafogo
1-0 @ 12.19% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.76% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.67% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.19% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.92% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.44% (+0.03)
Other @ 7.93% (+0.05)
Total : 52.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.06% (-0.02)
Total : 25.13%
Caracas
0-1 @ 7.16% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 5.83%
0-2 @ 3.53% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.81% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.53% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 22.77%