Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 5
May 21, 2026 1.00am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Olímpico Patria
  • Heber Leaños 29' yellowcard
  • Heber Leaños 30' yellowcard
  • Alan Mercado 46' yellowcard
  • Adelan Santos da Silva 63' yellowcard
  • Wagner 73' yellowcard
  • Rafael Lutkowski 73' yellowcard
  • goal Cristian Medina 24'
  • yellowcard Chris Ramos  61'
  • yellowcard Caio Ribeiro do Valle Silva 62'
  • yellowcard Santiago Rodríguez 73'
  • yellowcard Jordan Barrera 77'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Correa 78'
  • goal Jordan Barrera 82'
  • goal Jhohan Gutiérrez 87' (OG)

Independiente Petrolero vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Petrolero

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 5, 2026 11.00pm
Independiente Petrolero 2 - 3 Caracas

Botafogo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 7, 2026 1.30am
Botafogo 2 - 1 Racing

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.54% and a win for Independiente Petrolero had a probability of 20.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%) , while for a Independiente Petrolero win it was 1-0 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Independiente Petrolero 20.95% ▼ (-4.56)
Draw 22.54% ▼ (-1.61)
Botafogo 56.52% ▲ (+6.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.58% ▼ (-0.70)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.98% ▲ (+1.25)
Under 1.5 22.02% ▼ (-1.25)
Over 2.5 54.93% ▲ (+1.83)
Under 2.5 45.09% ▼ (-1.80)
Over 3.5 32.78% ▲ (+1.82)
Under 3.5 67.22% ▼ (-1.82)
Over 4.5 19.9% ▲ (+1.95)
Under 4.5 80.1% ▼ (-1.96)

First Half Winner

Independiente Petrolero 21.82%
Draw 40.18%
Botafogo 38%

Team To Score First

Independiente Petrolero 38.29% ▲ (+0.19)
No Goal 5.82% ▼ (-0.46)
Botafogo 55.89% ▲ (+0.28)

Corners

Over 8 33.24% ▼ (-27.13)
Equal 8 10.08% ▼ (-1.49)
Under 8 56.68% ▲ (+28.60)
Over 9 24.78% ▼ (-23.57)
Equal 9 8.45% ▼ (-3.57)
Under 9 66.76% ▲ (+27.14)
Over 10.5 18.19% ▼ (-18.77)
Under 10.5 81.81% ▲ (+18.77)

Independiente Petrolero Goals

Over 1.5 24.63% ▼ (-3.88)
Under 1.5 75.37% ▲ (+3.88)
Over 2.5 8.04% ▼ (-1.91)
Under 2.5 91.96% ▲ (+1.91)
Over 3.5 2.13% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 3.5 97.87% ▲ (+0.67)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 82.35% ▲ (+3.27)
Under 0.5 17.65% ▼ (-3.28)
Over 1.5 53.91% ▲ (+5.35)
Under 1.5 46.09% ▼ (-5.35)
Over 2.5 27.92% ▲ (+4.75)
Under 2.5 72.08% ▼ (-4.74)
Over 3.5 11.66% ▲ (+2.94)
Under 3.5 88.34% ▼ (-2.94)

Score analysis

Independiente Petrolero 20.95%
Draw 22.54%
Botafogo 56.52%
Independiente Petrolero
1-0 @ 5.76% ▼ (-1.00)
2-1 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.90)
2-0 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.80)
3-1 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.52)
3-2 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.27)
3-0 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.40)
Other @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.69)
Total : 20.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.62% ▼ (-0.82)
0-0 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.46)
2-2 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.30)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.54%
Botafogo
0-1 @ 10.45% ▲ (+0.14)
1-2 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 9.47% ▲ (+1.04)
1-3 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.67)
0-3 @ 5.77% ▲ (+1.17)
2-3 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 11.57% ▲ (+2.92)
Total : 56.52%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 3
Apr 28, 2026 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Nilton Santos
  • Mateo Ponte 15' goal
  • Álvaro Montoro 62' goal
  • Santiago Rodríguez 64' yellowcard
  • Chris Ramos  64' yellowcard
  • 64' yellowcard
  • 64' yellowcard
  • Joaquín Correa 65' yellowcard
  • 65' yellowcard
  • Marçal 67' yellowcard
  • Chris Ramos  67' yellowcard
  • Newton  74' yellowcard
  • Newton  77' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Rivas 56'
  • yellowcard Alan Mercado 56'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Cristaldo  64'
  • yellowcard Heber Leaños 71'
  • yellowcard Rafael Lutkowski 71'