Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.54% and a win for Independiente Petrolero had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%) , while for a Independiente Petrolero win it was 1-0 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.