Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 5
May 21, 2026 1.00am
Estadio Olímpico Patria

Independiente Petrolero vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Petrolero

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 5, 2026 11.00pm
Independiente Petrolero 2 - 3 Caracas

Botafogo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 7, 2026 1.30am
Botafogo 2 - 1 Racing

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Botafogo win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for Independiente Petrolero has a probability of 25.71% and a draw has a probability of 24.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Independiente Petrolero win is 1-0 (6.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.45%).

Result

Independiente Petrolero 25.71%
Draw 24.21% (+0.02)
Botafogo 50.07% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.31% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.66% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 23.34% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 53.07% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 46.93% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 30.89% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 69.11% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 17.88% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 82.12% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Independiente Petrolero 21.88% (-0.02)
Draw 40.13% (+0.04)
Botafogo 37.99% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Independiente Petrolero 38.02% (+0.05)
No Goal 6.29% (+0.01)
Botafogo 55.69% (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 60.72% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.55%
Under 8 27.73% (-0.01)
Over 9 48.68% (+0.01)
Equal 9 12.04%
Under 9 39.28% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 37.23% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 62.78%

Independiente Petrolero Goals

Over 1.5 28.67%
Under 1.5 71.33%
Over 2.5 10.08%
Under 2.5 89.92%
Over 3.5 2.83%
Under 3.5 97.17%

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 78.89% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 21.11% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 48.3% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 51.7% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 23.01% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 76.99% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.65% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.35% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Independiente Petrolero 25.7%
Draw 24.23%
Botafogo 50.08%
Independiente Petrolero
1-0 @ 6.78%
2-1 @ 6.36% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 3.77% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.5% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.53% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.75% (-0.01)
Total : 25.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.45% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.29% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.21% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.08% (+0.01)
Total : 24.23%
Botafogo
0-1 @ 10.28% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.71% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 8.37%
1-3 @ 5.31%
0-3 @ 4.58% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.57% (-0.02)
Total : 50.08%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 3
Apr 28, 2026 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Nilton Santos
  • Mateo Ponte 15' goal
  • Álvaro Montoro 62' goal
  • Santiago Rodríguez 64' yellowcard
  • Chris Ramos  64' yellowcard
  • 64' yellowcard
  • 64' yellowcard
  • Joaquín Correa 65' yellowcard
  • 65' yellowcard
  • Marçal 67' yellowcard
  • Chris Ramos  67' yellowcard
  • Newton  74' yellowcard
  • Newton  77' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Rivas 56'
  • yellowcard Alan Mercado 56'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Cristaldo  64'
  • yellowcard Heber Leaños 71'
  • yellowcard Rafael Lutkowski 71'