Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Jul 16, 2026 11.30pm
Estádio Manoel Barradas

Vitoria vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
May 31, 2026 12.00am
Santos 3 - 1 Vitoria
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Renê

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
May 31, 2026 8.00pm
Vasco 0 - 1 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Cauan Barros

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria win with a probability of 48.05%. A draw has a probability of 26.2% and a win for Vasco da Gama has a probability of 25.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.13%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.58%) , while for a Vasco da Gama win it is 0-1 (7.48%).

Result

Vitoria 48.05%
Draw 26.2% (-0.04)
Vasco da Gama 25.71% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.67% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.07% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 26.93% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 47.92% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 52.08% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 24.93% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 75.07% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 13.27% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 86.73% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Vitoria 31.22%
Draw 45.94%
Vasco da Gama 22.84%

Team To Score First

Vitoria 52.73% (+0.03)
No Goal 7.65% (-0.05)
Vasco da Gama 39.62% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 65.13%
Equal 8 10.88%
Under 8 23.99%
Over 9 53.36%
Equal 9 11.77%
Under 9 34.87%
Over 10.5 41.75%
Under 10.5 58.25%

Vitoria Goals

Over 1.5 44.07% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 55.93% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 18.43% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 81.57% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 6.41% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.59% (-0.01)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 61.07% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 38.93% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 26.37% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 73.63% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 8.7% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 91.3% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.14% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.86% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Vitoria 48.06%
Draw 26.2%
Vasco da Gama 25.71%
Vitoria
1-0 @ 11.77% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 10.13% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.71% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.51%
3-0 @ 4.48%
3-2 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.29% (+0.03)
Total : 48.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 7.65% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.99% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12% (-0.02)
Total : 26.2%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 7.48% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.65% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.86% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 1.81% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.73% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.02% (+0.03)
Total : 25.71%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Oct 5, 2025 8.00pm
4
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
May 10, 2025 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
  • Matheuzinho 33' redcard
  • Janderson 38' yellowcard
  • Renato Kayzer 60' goal
  • Renato Kayzer 90' goal
  • yellowcard Paulinho 12'
  • goal Pablo Vegetti 42'
  • yellowcard Loide Augusto 75'
  • yellowcard Lucas Piton 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Sep 1, 2024 10.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
  • Neris 74' yellowcard
  • Joao Victor 84' yellowcard
  • Everaldo 90'+9' yellowcard
  • goal Joao Victor 72'
  • yellowcard Willean Bernardo Willemen 85'
  • yellowcard Matheus Carvalho 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Everaldo 90'+9'
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
May 12, 2024 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Maicon 28' yellowcard
  • Maicon 51' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 56' goal
  • Pablo Galdames 57' yellowcard
  • Bruno Praxedes 84' yellowcard
  • David 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Bruno Praxedes 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Sforza 57'
  • yellowcard Iury Castilho 59'
  • yellowcard David 66'
  • goal Iury Castilho 89'
  • redcard Camutanga 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Sep 9, 2018 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ramon 23' yellowcard
  • Erick 59' yellowcard
  • Leo Gomes 67' yellowcard
  • Erick 73' goal
  • Lucas Riberio 75' redcard
  • Lucas Fernandes 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Desabato 40'
  • redcard Yago Pikachu 75'
Brasileiro
May 13, 2018 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Breno 35' yellowcard
  • Yago Pikachu 40' goal
  • Andres Rios 83' goal
  • Henrique 86' yellowcard
  • goal Andre Lima 18'
  • yellowcard Walisson 34'
  • yellowcard Willian Farias 44'
  • yellowcard Fillipe Soutto 55'
  • goal Lucas Fernandes 71'
  • goal Werley 76' (OG)