Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Vasco
May 11, 2026 12.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Athletico PR
  • Thiago Mendes  37' goal
  • Roy Gerritsen 69' yellowcard
  • Tchê Tchê 69' yellowcard
  • Nuno Moreira 76' yellowcard
  • Brenner 77' yellowcard
  • Nuno Moreira 77' yellowcard
  • Lucas Freitas 90' yellowcard
  • Lucas Freitas 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ramon Rique Santos de Souza Barros 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Léo Derik 11'
  • yellowcard Felipinho 63'
  • yellowcard Felipinho 64'
  • yellowcard Chiqueti 72'
  • yellowcard Bruno Zapelli 73'
  • yellowcard Isaac  73'

Vasco da Gama vs Athletico Paranaense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 8.00pm
Flamengo 2 - 2 Vasco
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Cauan Barros

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 12.30am
Athletico PR 0 - 0 Gremio
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Kevin Viveros

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.02% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.51%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%) , while for a Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result

Vasco da Gama 53.13% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 25.02%
Athletico Paranaense 21.88% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.87%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.07% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 25.93% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 49.28%
Under 2.5 50.72%
Over 3.5 26.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 73.19% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 14.85%
Under 4.5 85.15%

First Half Winner

Vasco da Gama 36.27%
Draw 43.68%
Athletico Paranaense 20.05%

Team To Score First

Vasco da Gama 57.16%
No Goal 7.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Athletico Paranaense 35.82% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.44%
Equal 8 11.65%
Under 8 27.91%
Over 9 48.29%
Equal 9 12.16%
Under 9 39.56%
Over 10.5 36.73%
Under 10.5 63.27%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 1.5 48.32% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 51.68% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 21.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 78.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 7.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.11% ▼ (-0.02)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 58.46% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 41.54% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 23.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 76.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 6.9%
Under 2.5 93.1%
Over 3.5 1.65%
Under 3.5 98.35%

Score analysis

Vasco da Gama 53.13%
Draw 25.03%
Athletico Paranaense 21.89%
Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 12.26% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 10.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.36% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.83%
Other @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 53.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.03%
Athletico Paranaense
0-1 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.81%
2-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 21.89%

Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
Athletico PR
Sep 12, 2024 1.30am
2
1
HT : 4 2
FT Arena de Baixada
Vasco
  • Tomas Cuello 25' goal
  • Tomas Cuello 25' goal
  • Kaique Rocha 26' yellowcard
  • Kaique Rocha 26' yellowcard
  • Madson 28' yellowcard
  • Madson 28' yellowcard
  • Bruno Zapelli 33' goal
  • Bruno Zapelli 33' goal
  • Bruno Zapelli 48' yellowcard
  • Bruno Zapelli 48' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Mastriani 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Mastriani 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Sforza 30'
  • yellowcard Juan Sforza 30'
  • redcard Rayan 42'
  • redcard Rayan 42'
  • goal Pablo Vegetti 45'+1'
  • goal Pablo Vegetti 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Souza 69'
  • yellowcard Souza 69'
Copa do Brasil
Vasco
Aug 30, 2024 12.00am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Nivaldo Pereira
Athletico PR
  • Pablo Vegetti 30' yellowcard
  • Pablo Vegetti 30' yellowcard
  • Joao Victor 35' yellowcard
  • Joao Victor 35' yellowcard
  • Jose Luis Rodriguez 80' goal
  • Jose Luis Rodriguez 80' goal
  • Hugo Moura 90'+3' goal
  • Hugo Moura 90'+3' goal
  • Joao Victor 90'+7' redcard
  • Joao Victor 90'+7' redcard
  • yellowcard Mycael Pontes Moreira 25'
  • yellowcard Mycael Pontes Moreira 25'
  • goal Christian 32'
  • goal Christian 32'
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 36'
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 36'
  • yellowcard Christian 39'
  • yellowcard Christian 39'
  • yellowcard Agustin Canobbio 51'
  • yellowcard Agustin Canobbio 51'
  • redcard Lucas Di Yorio 90'+7'
  • redcard Lucas Di Yorio 90'+7'
Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Vasco
Aug 27, 2024 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Athletico PR
  • Matheus Carvalho 48' yellowcard
  • Matheus Carvalho 48' yellowcard
  • Emerson Rodriguez 68' goal
  • Emerson Rodriguez 68' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 86' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 86' goal
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 15'
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 15'
  • goal Gabriel 24'
  • goal Gabriel 24'
  • yellowcard Joao Victor Machado Cruz 28'
  • yellowcard Joao Victor Machado Cruz 28'
  • yellowcard Martin Varini Di Zioli 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Martin Varini Di Zioli 90'+5'
  • redcard Fernando 90'+7'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Athletico PR
May 5, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena de Baixada
Vasco
  • Erick 26' goal
  • Fernandinho 58' yellowcard
  • redcard Hugo Moura 16'
Brasileiro Gameweek 35
Athletico PR
Nov 25, 2023 10.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena de Baixada
Vasco
  • Tomas Cuello 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maicon 54'
  • yellowcard Leo Pele 62'
  • yellowcard Marlon Gomes 75'
  • yellowcard Robson Bambu 90'+1'
Brasileiro Gameweek 16
Vasco
Jul 23, 2023 10.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Athletico PR
  • Jose Vitor Geminiano Cavalieri 35' yellowcard
  • Jair 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wesley Carvalho 36'
  • yellowcard Khellven 41'
  • yellowcard Fernandinho 58'
  • yellowcard Lucas Esquivel 70'
  • goal Christian 71'
  • goal Vitor Bueno 80'
  • redcard Ze Ivaldo 90'+5'

Form Data

Audax 1 - 2 Vasco
Flamengo 2 - 2 Vasco
Vasco 3 - 0 Olimpia
Corinthians 1 - 0 Vasco
Paysandu 0 - 2 Vasco
Vasco 2 - 1 Sao Paulo
Athletico PR 0 - 0 Gremio
Athletico PR 3 - 1 Vitoria
Athletico PR 0 - 0 Atletico GO
Palmeiras 1 - 0 Athletico PR
Athletico PR 2 - 0 Chapecoense
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 1 Athletico PR