Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 4
May 6, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida

Audax Italiano vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Audax Italiano

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 29, 2026 1.00am
Barracas Central 1 - 1 Audax

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 11.00pm
Vasco 3 - 0 Olimpia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Audax Italiano has a probability of 30.74% and a draw has a probability of 25.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Audax Italiano win is 1-0 (8.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.38%).

Result

Audax Italiano 30.74% (-0.03)
Draw 25.98% (+0.04)
Vasco da Gama 43.31% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.28% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.17% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 26.83% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 47.9% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 52.1% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 26.74%
Under 3.5 73.26%
Over 4.5 14.43% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.57% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Audax Italiano 23.25% (+0.02)
Draw 45.45% (-0.05)
Vasco da Gama 31.3% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Audax Italiano 42.71% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.42% (+0.02)
Vasco da Gama 49.87% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 57.92% (+0.13)
Equal 8 11.91% (+0.01)
Under 8 30.17% (-0.13)
Over 9 45.76% (+0.11)
Equal 9 12.17% (+0.03)
Under 9 42.08% (-0.13)
Over 10.5 34.42% (+0.07)
Under 10.5 65.58% (-0.07)

Audax Italiano Goals

Over 1.5 30.9% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 69.1% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 10.6% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 89.4% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.02% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.98% (+0.02)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 73.81% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 26.19% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 41% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 59% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 16.98% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.02% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.56% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.44% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Audax Italiano 30.75%
Draw 25.98%
Vasco da Gama 43.32%
Audax Italiano
1-0 @ 8.89%
2-1 @ 7.02% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.18%
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.07%
3-0 @ 1.74%
Other @ 3.01% (-0.02)
Total : 30.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.38% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.42% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.24%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.98%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 10.57% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.02% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.69% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.24%
0-3 @ 3.39% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.55% (+0.01)
Total : 43.32%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 2
Apr 15, 2026 1.00am
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Paulo Henrique 46' yellowcard
  • Thiago Mendes  46' yellowcard
  • Brenner 45'+3' goal
  • David 65' yellowcard
  • Andrés Gómez 66' yellowcard
  • Adson 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard P. Guajardo 46'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Cabral 60'
  • yellowcard Diego Coelho 60'
  • goal M. Fuentes 62'
  • yellowcard N. Aedo 78'
  • yellowcard F. Troyansky 86'
  • yellowcard Diego Monreal 90'+1'