Copa do Brasil
Apr 22, 2026 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Leônidas Sodré de Castro
  • Juninho 58' yellowcard
  • Lucas Cardoso 58' yellowcard
  • Brian Wendell 64' yellowcard
  • Thalyson 64' yellowcard
  • Henrico 70' yellowcard
  • goal Claudio Spinelli 57'
  • goal Claudio Spinelli 62'
  • yellowcard Adson 70'
  • yellowcard Brenner 70'
  • yellowcard Nuno Moreira 70'
  • yellowcard Hugo Moura 78'
  • yellowcard Hugo Moura 79'
  • yellowcard Matheus França 79'

Paysandu vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Paysandu

All competitions

Vasco da Gama

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paysandu win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paysandu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (9.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result

Paysandu 42.15% (+0.08)
Draw 27.81% (+0.06)
Vasco da Gama 30.04% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.06% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.59% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 30.41% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 44.38% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 55.62% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 23.47% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 76.53% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 12.58% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 87.42% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Paysandu 32.82% (+0.04)
Draw 44.12% (-0.13)
Vasco da Gama 23.07% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Paysandu 49.4% (-0.11)
No Goal 9.15% (+0.04)
Vasco da Gama 41.45% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 58.12% (-0.23)
Equal 8 11.2% (+0.02)
Under 8 30.68% (+0.20)
Over 9 46.68% (-0.23)
Equal 9 11.44% (+0.01)
Under 9 41.88% (+0.23)
Over 10.5 35.94% (-0.22)
Under 10.5 64.06% (+0.22)

Paysandu Goals

Over 1.5 38.22% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 61.78% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 14.69% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 85.31% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.84% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.16% (+0.02)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 62.93% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 37.07% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 28.57% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 71.43% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 10.18% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 89.82% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.85% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.15% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Paysandu 42.14%
Draw 27.81%
Vasco da Gama 30.03%
Paysandu
1-0 @ 11.98% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.74% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 3.59% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.74% (-0.03)
Total : 42.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 9.15% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.88% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.1% (+0.02)
Total : 27.81%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 4.72%
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.75% (-0.03)
Total : 30.03%