Copa do Brasil
Apr 22, 2026 1.30am
Estádio Leônidas Sodré de Castro

Paysandu vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Paysandu

All competitions

Vasco da Gama

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paysandu win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Vasco da Gama has a probability of 29.75% and a draw has a probability of 27.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paysandu win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win is 0-1 (8.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.75%).

Result

Paysandu 42.51%
Draw 27.74%
Vasco da Gama 29.75%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.45%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.12%
Under 1.5 28.88%
Over 2.5 45.98%
Under 2.5 54.02%
Over 3.5 24.34%
Under 3.5 75.66%
Over 4.5 13.05%
Under 4.5 86.95%

First Half Winner

Paysandu 32.23%
Draw 44.53%
Vasco da Gama 23.24%

Team To Score First

Paysandu 48.56%
No Goal 8.78%
Vasco da Gama 42.66%

Corners

Over 8 56.78%
Equal 8 11.42%
Under 8 31.8%
Over 9 45.25%
Equal 9 11.53%
Under 9 43.22%
Over 10.5 34.56%
Under 10.5 65.44%

Paysandu Goals

Over 1.5 39.55%
Under 1.5 60.45%
Over 2.5 15.62%
Under 2.5 84.38%
Over 3.5 5.37%
Under 3.5 94.63%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 63.32%
Under 0.5 36.68%
Over 1.5 29.05%
Under 1.5 70.95%
Over 2.5 10.32%
Under 2.5 89.68%
Over 3.5 2.82%
Under 3.5 97.18%

Score analysis

Paysandu 42.51%
Draw 27.74%
Vasco da Gama 29.75%
Paysandu
1-0 @ 11.29%
2-1 @ 8.96%
2-0 @ 7.78%
3-1 @ 3.75%
3-0 @ 3.61%
3-2 @ 1.9%
Other @ 5.22%
Total : 42.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.78%
2-2 @ 5.07%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 27.74%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 8.81%
1-2 @ 7.15%
0-2 @ 4.61%
1-3 @ 2.46%
2-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 29.75%