Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paysandu win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paysandu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (9.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.