Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portuguesa win with a probability of 49.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.96% and a win for Paysandu had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portuguesa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%) , while for a Paysandu win it was 0-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.