Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portuguesa win with a probability of 47.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.31% and a win for Avai had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portuguesa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%) , while for a Avai win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.