Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avai win with a probability of 58.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.66% and a win for Porto Vitória had a probability of 17.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Avai win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%) , while for a Porto Vitória win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.