Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paysandu win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Portuguesa RJ had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 29.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paysandu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Portuguesa RJ win was 0-1 (11.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.