Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portuguesa RJ win with a probability of 43.84%. A draw had a probability of 30.66% and a win for Maracana had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portuguesa RJ win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%) , while for a Maracana win it was 0-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood.