Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Vasco
Apr 18, 2026 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Sao Paulo
  • José Luis Rodríguez 46' yellowcard
  • Adson 46' yellowcard
  • Claudio Spinelli 62' yellowcard
  • Brenner 62' yellowcard
  • José Luis Rodríguez 72' yellowcard
  • Hugo Moura 81' yellowcard
  • Andrés Gómez 88' goal
  • goal Luciano 10'
  • yellowcard Tetê 58'
  • yellowcard Wendell 63'
  • yellowcard Maik 63'
  • yellowcard Felipe Negrucci 80'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Tapia 80'

Vasco da Gama vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 8.30pm
Remo 1 - 1 Vasco
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Cauan Barros

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 8.30pm
Vitoria 2 - 0 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Jonathan Calleri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Vasco da Gama 39.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 26.63%
Sao Paulo 34.15% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.75%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.45% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 27.55% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 47.48%
Under 2.5 52.52%
Over 3.5 25.56%
Under 3.5 74.44%
Over 4.5 13.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.55% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Vasco da Gama 31.94%
Draw 45.46%
Sao Paulo 22.59%

Team To Score First

Vasco da Gama 51.95% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 7.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Sao Paulo 40.27%

Corners

Over 8 56.15%
Equal 8 11.98%
Under 8 31.86%
Over 9 44.08%
Equal 9 12.07%
Under 9 43.85%
Over 10.5 32.97%
Under 10.5 67.03%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 1.5 37.27% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 62.73% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 14.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 85.93% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 4.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.67% ▲ (+0.02)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 67.89% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 32.11% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 33.39% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 66.61% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 12.3% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 87.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.57% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.43% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Vasco da Gama 39.23%
Draw 26.64%
Sao Paulo 34.15%
Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 8.86% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.8% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.76%
3-2 @ 2.31%
Other @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 39.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.64% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.22%
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 26.64%
Sao Paulo
0-1 @ 9.29% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.04%
0-2 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 34.15%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Vasco
Nov 2, 2025 11.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Sao Paulo
Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Sao Paulo
Jun 13, 2025 1.30am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Vasco
  • Luciano 33' yellowcard
  • Robert Arboleda 38' yellowcard
  • Andre Silva 45' yellowcard
  • Juan Dinenno 87' yellowcard
  • Ryan Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos Silva 90'+3' goal
  • goal Rayan 26'
  • goal Nuno Moreira 40'
  • yellowcard Joao Victor 60'
  • goal Pablo Vegetti 69'
  • yellowcard Hugo Moura 71'
Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Sao Paulo
Oct 17, 2024 1.45am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Brinco de Ouro da Princesa
Vasco
  • Luciano 9' goal
  • Luciano 9' goal
  • Lucas Moura 46' goal
  • Lucas Moura 46' goal
  • Welington 65' yellowcard
  • Welington 65' yellowcard
  • Lucas Moura 67' goal
  • Lucas Moura 67' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Vasco
Jun 23, 2024 1.30am
4
1
HT : 4 2
FT Estadio Nivaldo Pereira
Sao Paulo
  • Alan Franco 33' goal
  • Alan Franco 33' goal
  • Guilherme Estrella de Paiva 39' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Estrella de Paiva 39' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Estrella de Paiva 45'+3' goal
  • Guilherme Estrella de Paiva 45'+3' goal
  • Maicon 77' yellowcard
  • Maicon 77' yellowcard
  • Leandro Viana da Silva Gama 80' goal
  • Leandro Viana da Silva Gama 80' goal
  • Rossi 88' yellowcard
  • Rossi 88' yellowcard
  • David 90'+3' goal
  • David 90'+3' goal
  • goal Andre Silva 11'
  • goal Andre Silva 11'
  • yellowcard Patryck Lanza 36'
  • yellowcard Patryck Lanza 36'
Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Vasco
Oct 7, 2023 10.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Sao Paulo
  • Paulinho 37' yellowcard
  • Ramon Diaz 38' yellowcard
  • Leo Pele 45' yellowcard
  • Maicon 73' yellowcard
  • Figueiredo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Mendes 45'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
Sao Paulo
May 20, 2023 10.30pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Vasco
  • Jonathan Calleri 24' goal
  • Rodrigo Nestor 42' goal
  • Lucas Beraldo 89' goal
  • Juan 90'+2' goal
  • goal Cauan Barros 45'
  • goal Matias Galarza 83'

Form Data

Vasco 1 - 2 Audax
Remo 1 - 1 Vasco
Barracas Central 0 - 0 Vasco
Vasco 1 - 2 Botafogo
Coritiba 1 - 1 Vasco
Vasco 2 - 1 Gremio
Sao Paulo 2 - 0 O'Higgins
Vitoria 2 - 0 Sao Paulo
Boston River 0 - 1 Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo 4 - 1 Cruzeiro
Internacional 1 - 1 Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo 0 - 1 Palmeiras