Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 2
Apr 15, 2026 1.00am
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Paulo Henrique 46' yellowcard
  • Thiago Mendes  46' yellowcard
  • Brenner 45'+3' goal
  • David 65' yellowcard
  • Andrés Gómez 66' yellowcard
  • Adson 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard P. Guajardo 46'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Cabral 60'
  • yellowcard Diego Coelho 60'
  • goal M. Fuentes 62'
  • yellowcard N. Aedo 78'
  • yellowcard F. Troyansky 86'
  • yellowcard Diego Monreal 90'+1'

Vasco da Gama vs Audax Italiano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 7, 2026 11.00pm
Barracas Central 0 - 0 Vasco

Audax Italiano

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 1.00am
Audax 0 - 2 Olimpia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 50.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.47% and a win for Audax Italiano had a probability of 23.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%) , while for a Audax Italiano win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result

Vasco da Gama 50.85% ▲ (+0.39)
Draw 25.47% ▼ (-0.18)
Audax Italiano 23.65% ▼ (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.43% ▲ (+0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.2% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 26.8% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 2.5 48.37% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 2.5 51.64% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 26.54% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 3.5 73.46% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 4.5 14.79% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 4.5 85.21% ▼ (-0.21)

First Half Winner

Vasco da Gama 33% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 43.6% ▼ (-0.23)
Audax Italiano 23.4% ▲ (+0.12)

Team To Score First

Vasco da Gama 54.03% ▲ (+0.36)
No Goal 7.56% ▼ (-0.13)
Audax Italiano 38.41% ▼ (-0.24)

Corners

Over 8 56.12% ▼ (-0.21)
Equal 8 11.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 32.39% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 9 44.55% ▼ (-0.21)
Equal 9 11.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 43.88% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 10.5 33.87% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 10.5 66.13% ▲ (+0.18)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 1.5 46.53% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 1.5 53.47% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 2.5 21.08% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 2.5 78.92% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 7.72% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 3.5 92.28% ▼ (-0.19)

Audax Italiano Goals

Over 0.5 58.7% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 0.5 41.3% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 1.5 24.86% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 75.14% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 7.88% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 92.12% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.9% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Vasco da Gama 50.85%
Draw 25.46%
Audax Italiano 23.65%
Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 11.92% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.71% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 9.28% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.5%
Other @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.21)
Total : 50.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25.46%
Audax Italiano
0-1 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.13)
1-2 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 23.65%