Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 50.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.47% and a win for Audax Italiano had a probability of 23.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%) , while for a Audax Italiano win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.