Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cobresal win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Audax Italiano had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 24.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cobresal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Audax Italiano win was 0-1 (7.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.