Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 3
Apr 30, 2026 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • José Luis Rodríguez 39' goal
  • Nuno Moreira 51' goal
  • Adson 55' goal
  • Riquelme Avellar 70' yellowcard
  • Cauan Barros 70' yellowcard
  • Paulo Henrique 70' yellowcard
  • Marino Hinestroza 78' yellowcard
  • Brenner 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Fernando Alfaro 57'
  • yellowcard Iván Leguizamón 57'
  • yellowcard Richard Sánchez 57'
  • yellowcard Adrián Alcaraz 65'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Silva 84'

Vasco da Gama vs Olimpia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 15, 2026 1.00am
Vasco 1 - 2 Audax

Olimpia

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 16, 2026 1.00am
Olimpia 0 - 0 Barracas Central

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 2-1 (7.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result

Vasco da Gama 37.18% (-0.11)
Draw 24.54%
Olimpia 38.28% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.48% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.81% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 21.19% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 56.7% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 43.3% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 34.77% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 65.23% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 20.74% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 79.26% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Vasco da Gama 25%
Draw 43.15%
Olimpia 31.85%

Team To Score First

Vasco da Gama 42.22% (+0.01)
No Goal 5.68% (-0.03)
Olimpia 52.1% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 50.25%
Equal 8 12.07%
Under 8 37.67%
Over 9 38.66%
Equal 9 11.59%
Under 9 49.75%
Over 10.5 28.44%
Under 10.5 71.56%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 1.5 40.79% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 59.21% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 17.99% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 82.01% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 6.77%
Under 3.5 93.23%

Olimpia Goals

Over 0.5 71.87% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 28.13% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 41.2% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 58.8% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 18.29% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 81.71% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 6.27% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 93.73% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Vasco da Gama 37.19%
Draw 24.54%
Olimpia 38.28%
Vasco da Gama
2-1 @ 7.91% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.64% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.57% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.9% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.71%
Other @ 6.54% (-0.01)
Total : 37.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.98% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.68% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.69% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.23% (+0.02)
Total : 24.54%
Olimpia
1-2 @ 8.46%
0-1 @ 7.88% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.57% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.14% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.34% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.85% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.04% (+0.05)
Total : 38.28%