Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 2-1 (7.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.