Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 3
Apr 30, 2026 11.00pm
Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama vs Olimpia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 15, 2026 1.00am
Vasco 1 - 2 Audax

Olimpia

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 16, 2026 1.00am
Olimpia 0 - 0 Barracas Central

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Olimpia win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Vasco da Gama has a probability of 37.28% and a draw has a probability of 24.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win is 2-1 (7.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.98%).

Result

Vasco da Gama 37.28%
Draw 24.54%
Olimpia 38.24% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.44% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.79% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 21.21% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 56.64% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 43.36% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 34.71% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 65.29% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 20.67% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 79.33% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Vasco da Gama 25%
Draw 43.15%
Olimpia 31.85%

Team To Score First

Vasco da Gama 42.21%
No Goal 5.7%
Olimpia 52.09%

Corners

Over 8 50.25%
Equal 8 12.07%
Under 8 37.67%
Over 9 38.66%
Equal 9 11.59%
Under 9 49.75%
Over 10.5 28.44%
Under 10.5 71.56%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 1.5 40.8% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 59.2% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 17.98%
Under 2.5 82.02%
Over 3.5 6.77% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.23% (-0.02)

Olimpia Goals

Over 0.5 71.84% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 28.16% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 41.1% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 58.9% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 18.2% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 81.8% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.22%
Under 3.5 93.78%

Score analysis

Vasco da Gama 37.27%
Draw 24.55%
Olimpia 38.25%
Vasco da Gama
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.67% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.6%
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.55% (+0.02)
Total : 37.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98%
2-2 @ 5.97%
0-0 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.55%
Olimpia
1-2 @ 8.46% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.91% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.58% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.13% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.33%
0-3 @ 2.84% (+0.01)
Other @ 6%
Total : 38.25%