Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 48.72%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.04%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (7.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.