Copa do Brasil
May 13, 2026 11.00pm
Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama vs Paysandu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Apr 22, 2026 1.30am
Paysandu 0 - 2 Vasco

Paysandu

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Apr 22, 2026 1.30am
Paysandu 0 - 2 Vasco

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw has a probability of 24.67% and a win for Paysandu has a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (11.71%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.91%) , while for a Paysandu win it is 1-2 (6.3%).

Result

Vasco da Gama 55.05% (+1.59)
Draw 24.67% (-0.35)
Paysandu 20.29% (-1.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.98% (-0.61)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.67% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 25.33% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 50.5% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 49.5% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 25.07% (-0.49)
Under 3.5 74.93% (+0.50)
Over 4.5 14.25% (-0.29)
Under 4.5 85.75% (+0.30)

First Half Winner

Vasco da Gama 35.74% (+0.18)
Draw 43.06% (+0.59)
Paysandu 21.2% (-0.77)

Team To Score First

Vasco da Gama 61.14% (+2.29)
No Goal 7.4% (-0.06)
Paysandu 31.46% (-2.23)

Corners

Over 8 58.24% (-2.56)
Equal 8 11.43% (-0.02)
Under 8 30.33% (+2.57)
Over 9 46.54% (-2.31)
Equal 9 11.69% (-0.28)
Under 9 41.76% (+2.56)
Over 10.5 35.57% (-1.86)
Under 10.5 64.43% (+1.86)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 1.5 49.84% (+0.80)
Under 1.5 50.16% (-0.80)
Over 2.5 22.9% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 77.1% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 8.13% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 91.87% (-0.18)

Paysandu Goals

Over 0.5 57.18% (-0.98)
Under 0.5 42.82% (+0.98)
Over 1.5 22.34% (-1.13)
Under 1.5 77.66% (+1.12)
Over 2.5 5.63% (-0.83)
Under 2.5 94.37% (+0.83)
Over 3.5 1.4% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 98.6% (+0.20)

Score analysis

Vasco da Gama 55.04%
Draw 24.69%
Paysandu 20.28%
Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 11.73% (+0.39)
2-1 @ 11.71% (+0.42)
2-0 @ 9.4% (+0.38)
3-0 @ 6.18% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 5.01% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.89% (+0.10)
Other @ 8.12% (+0.17)
Total : 55.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.69%
Paysandu
1-2 @ 6.3% (-0.30)
0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.25)
0-2 @ 2.84% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 1.15% (-0.16)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.20)
Other @ 1.39% (-0.21)
Total : 20.28%

Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
Apr 22, 2026 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Leônidas Sodré de Castro
  • Juninho 58' yellowcard
  • Lucas Cardoso 58' yellowcard
  • Brian Wendell 64' yellowcard
  • Thalyson 64' yellowcard
  • Henrico 70' yellowcard
  • goal Claudio Spinelli 57'
  • goal Claudio Spinelli 62'
  • yellowcard Adson 70'
  • yellowcard Brenner 70'
  • yellowcard Nuno Moreira 70'
  • yellowcard Hugo Moura 78'
  • yellowcard Hugo Moura 79'
  • yellowcard Matheus França 79'