Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.67% and a win for Paysandu had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (11.67%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%) , while for a Paysandu win it was 1-2 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.