Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (7.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.