Argentine Primera Division
May 16, 2026 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Mâs Monumental
  • Joaquín Freitas 13' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Montiel 31' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Bustos 46' yellowcard
  • Lucas Silva 56' yellowcard
  • Facundo Colidio 62' yellowcard
  • Marcos Acuña 83' yellowcard
  • Germán Pezzella 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jáminton Campaz 71'
  • yellowcard Julián Fernández 71'
  • yellowcard Facundo Mallo 71'
  • yellowcard Alejo Veliz 80'
  • yellowcard Carlos Quintana 90'+3'

River Plate vs Rosario Central - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
May 14, 2026 1.30am
River Plate 2 - 0 Gimnasia
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Sebastián Driussi

Rosario Central

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
May 13, 2026 10.45pm
Rosario 2 - 1 Racing
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Angel di Maria

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (9.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result

River Plate 44.84%
Draw 26.99%
Rosario Central 28.17%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.89%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.44%
Under 1.5 31.56%
Over 2.5 42.07%
Under 2.5 57.93%
Over 3.5 21.14%
Under 3.5 78.86%
Over 4.5 11.06%
Under 4.5 88.94%

First Half Winner

River Plate 35.8%
Draw 47.36%
Rosario Central 16.83%

Team To Score First

River Plate 57.56%
No Goal 9.13%
Rosario Central 33.31%

Corners

Over 8 44.76%
Equal 8 11.72%
Under 8 43.52%
Over 9 33.98%
Equal 9 10.78%
Under 9 55.24%
Over 10.5 24.82%
Under 10.5 75.18%

River Plate Goals

Over 1.5 38.16%
Under 1.5 61.84%
Over 2.5 14.49%
Under 2.5 85.51%
Over 3.5 4.71%
Under 3.5 95.29%

Rosario Central Goals

Over 0.5 60.6%
Under 0.5 39.4%
Over 1.5 25.8%
Under 1.5 74.2%
Over 2.5 8.47%
Under 2.5 91.53%
Over 3.5 2.23%
Under 3.5 97.77%

Score analysis

River Plate 44.84%
Draw 26.98%
Rosario Central 28.17%
River Plate
1-0 @ 13.18%
2-1 @ 9.1%
2-0 @ 8.74%
3-0 @ 3.67%
3-1 @ 3.53%
3-2 @ 1.95%
Other @ 4.67%
Total : 44.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.13%
2-2 @ 4.25%
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 26.98%
Rosario Central
0-1 @ 9.24%
1-2 @ 6.42%
0-2 @ 4.71%
1-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 28.17%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 3
Feb 2, 2026 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio 15 de Abril
  • Gaspar De Jesus Duarte 46' yellowcard
  • Gaspar Duarte 46' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Salas 46'
  • yellowcard Marcos Acuna 70'
  • yellowcard Giuliano Galoppo 70'
  • yellowcard Santiago Lencinas 70'
  • yellowcard Marcos Acuña 70'
  • yellowcard Santiago Lencina 70'
  • yellowcard Ian Martin Subiabre 77'
  • yellowcard Ian Subiabre 77'
Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Oct 6, 2025 1.15am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 11
Mar 30, 2025 12.00am
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
  • Lucas Martinez 18' goal
  • Lucas Martinez 18' goal
  • Rodrigo Aliendro 44' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Aliendro 44' yellowcard
  • Ian Martin Subiabre 61' goal
  • Ian Martin Subiabre 61' goal
  • Maximiliano Meza 77' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Meza 77' yellowcard
  • goal Sebastian Ferreira 8'
  • goal Sebastian Ferreira 8'
  • yellowcard Franco Ibarra 37'
  • yellowcard Franco Ibarra 37'
  • yellowcard Leandro Campaz 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Leandro Campaz 45'+2'
  • goal Santiago Lopez 85'
  • goal Santiago Lopez 85'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 26
Dec 8, 2024 10.15pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
  • Facundo Colidio 28' yellowcard
  • Pablo Solari 45'+2' goal
  • Miguel Borja 69' goal
  • Pablo Solari 72' goal
  • Pity Martinez 89' goal
  • yellowcard Marco Ruben 34'
  • yellowcard Luca Valentino Raffin 59'
  • yellowcard Franco Ibarra 66'
  • yellowcard Damian Martinez 77'
  • yellowcard Kevin Isaias Silva 79'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 13
Apr 8, 2024 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
  • Nicolas Fonseca 33' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Fonseca 33' yellowcard
  • Milton Casco 46' yellowcard
  • Milton Casco 46' yellowcard
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 64' yellowcard
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 64' yellowcard
  • Miguel Borja 67' goal
  • Miguel Borja 67' goal
  • Miguel Borja 87' goal
  • Miguel Borja 87' goal
  • goal Lautaro Giaccone 14'
  • goal Lautaro Giaccone 14'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Martinez 28'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Martinez 28'
  • yellowcard Leandro Campaz 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Leandro Campaz 90'+4'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 13
Nov 11, 2023 9.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre
  • Luca Martinez 45'+2' goal
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 57' goal
  • Damian Martinez 60' yellowcard
  • Agustin Sandez 69' yellowcard
  • Leandro Campaz 85' goal
  • yellowcard Ignacio Fernandez 7'
  • goal Ezequiel Barco 26'
  • yellowcard Santiago Simon 33'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Herrera 49'
  • yellowcard Enzo Perez 54'
  • redcard Enzo Perez 63'
  • yellowcard Nicolas de la Cruz 83'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Barco 90'+1'