Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 49.64%. A draw had a probability of 28.11% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%) , while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.