Argentine Primera Division
May 10, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Mâs Monumental

River Plate vs San Lorenzo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
May 3, 2026 10.30pm
River Plate 0 - 1 Tucuman
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Sebastián Driussi

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
May 2, 2026 10.45pm
San Lorenzo 1 - 2 Independiente
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Alexis Cuello

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a River Plate win with a probability of 49.64%. A draw has a probability of 28.11% and a win for San Lorenzo has a probability of 22.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.63%) , while for a San Lorenzo win it is 0-1 (9.12%).

Result

River Plate 49.64% (+0.11)
Draw 28.11% (-0.04)
San Lorenzo 22.25% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.96% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.99% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 37.01% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 36.08% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 63.92% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 17.06% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 82.94% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 8.63% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 91.37% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

River Plate 36.64%
Draw 47.04%
San Lorenzo 16.32%

Team To Score First

River Plate 56.6% (+0.04)
No Goal 11.84% (-0.05)
San Lorenzo 31.56% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 42.89%
Equal 8 12%
Under 8 45.12%
Over 9 32.02%
Equal 9 10.86%
Under 9 57.11%
Over 10.5 22.95%
Under 10.5 77.05%

River Plate Goals

Over 1.5 38.27% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 61.73% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 14.72% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 85.28% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 4.61% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.39% (-0.05)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5 52.57%
Under 0.5 47.43%
Over 1.5 18.36% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 81.64% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 4.86%
Under 2.5 95.14%
Over 3.5 1.04% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.96% (+0.01)

Score analysis

River Plate 49.64%
Draw 28.11%
San Lorenzo 22.25%
River Plate
1-0 @ 16.05% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 10.64% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.66% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.33% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.8% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.59%
Other @ 4.57% (+0.05)
Total : 49.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 11.84% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 28.11%
San Lorenzo
0-1 @ 9.12% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.06%
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.42%
2-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1% (-0.02)
Total : 22.25%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona Gameweek 3
Jul 28, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 3
Feb 2, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Pedro Bidegain
  • 3' goal
  • Ezequiel Cerutti 9' yellowcard
  • Matias Reali 9' yellowcard
  • Jhohan Romana 63' yellowcard
  • Agustin Ladstatter 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Driussi 29'
  • yellowcard Lucas Martinez 61'
  • yellowcard Marcos Acuna 63'
  • yellowcard Miguel Borja 84'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Montiel 90'+3'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 24
Dec 5, 2024 12.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 44' yellowcard
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 44' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Meza 59' goal
  • Maximiliano Meza 59' goal
  • yellowcard Eric Remedi 33'
  • yellowcard Eric Remedi 33'
  • goal Iker Muniain 67'
  • goal Iker Muniain 67'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 24
Jul 9, 2023 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Pedro Bidegain
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 20
Sep 18, 2022 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Emanuel Mammana 40'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Mar 5, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Nicolas Fernandez 45' yellowcard
  • Francisco Flores 52' yellowcard
  • Yeison Gordillo 88' yellowcard
  • goal Paulo Diaz 37'
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernandez 44'
  • yellowcard Paulo Diaz 49'
  • yellowcard Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 66'
  • yellowcard Jose Paradela 90'+4'