Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Cuenca win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 29.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Cuenca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (10.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.