Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Cuenca win with a probability of 55.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.33% and a win for Libertad had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Cuenca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%) , while for a Libertad win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.