Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a draw had a probability of 35.11%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 33.95% and a win for Platense had a probability of 30.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a draw was 0-0 with a probability of 19.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-1 (12.98%) and 2-2 (2.53%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (14.65%) , while for a Platense win it was 1-0 (14.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood.