Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 4
May 8, 2026 1.30am
Estadio Olímpico Rafael Calles Pinto

Carabobo vs River Plate - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carabobo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 11.00pm
Carabobo 2 - 0 Blooming

River Plate

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 1, 2026 1.30am
Bragantino 0 - 1 River Plate

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a River Plate win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Carabobo has a probability of 32.46% and a draw has a probability of 27.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Carabobo win is 1-0 (10.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.9%).

Result

Carabobo 32.46% (+0.40)
Draw 27.19% (-0.09)
River Plate 40.32% (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

46% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.87%
Under 1.5 32.13%
Over 2.5 41.76% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 58.24% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 20.62%
Under 3.5 79.38%
Over 4.5 10.85% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 89.15% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Carabobo 25.95% (+0.22)
Draw 50.46% (-0.27)
River Plate 23.58% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Carabobo 45.83% (-0.46)
No Goal 9.77% (-0.07)
River Plate 44.4% (+0.51)

Corners

Over 8 46.53% (+1.75)
Equal 8 12.7% (+0.03)
Under 8 40.77% (-1.78)
Over 9 34.7% (+1.57)
Equal 9 11.83% (+0.19)
Under 9 53.47% (-1.75)
Over 10.5 24.61% (+1.27)
Under 10.5 75.39% (-1.27)

Carabobo Goals

Over 1.5 28.34% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 71.66% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 9.34% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 90.66% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 2.5% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 97.5% (-0.10)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 68.88% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 31.12% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 34.68% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 65.32% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 13.59% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 86.41% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 4.26% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.74% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Carabobo 32.47%
Draw 27.19%
River Plate 40.31%
Carabobo
1-0 @ 10.64% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 7.14% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 5.95% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 2.47% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.54% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.48% (+0.11)
Total : 32.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.9% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.77% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 3.92%
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 27.19%
River Plate
0-1 @ 11.69% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 8.38% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 7.25% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.37% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.06)
Other @ 4.24% (-0.05)
Total : 40.31%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 2
Apr 16, 2026 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Mâs Monumental
  • Aníbal Moreno 18' yellowcard
  • Sebastián Driussi 46' yellowcard
  • Tomás Galván 46' yellowcard
  • Kendry Páez 51' yellowcard
  • Sebastián Driussi 66' goal
  • Marcos Acuña 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yohandry Orozco 72'
  • yellowcard Loureins Martínez 72'
  • yellowcard Edson Tortolero 72'
  • yellowcard Dimas Meza 88'