Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 4
May 8, 2026 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Olímpico Rafael Calles Pinto
  • Maurice Cova 46' yellowcard
  • Jean Fuentes 46' yellowcard
  • Joshuan Berríos 71' yellowcard
  • Matías Núñez 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Fernando Quintero 26'
  • goal Maximiliano Meza 59'
  • yellowcard Facundo Colidio 60'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Salas 60'
  • yellowcard Juan Cruz Meza 72'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Pereyra 79'
  • yellowcard Kendry Páez 79'
  • yellowcard Kendry Páez 80'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Pereyra 80'
  • goal Maximiliano Salas 90'+6'

Carabobo vs River Plate - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carabobo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 11.00pm
Carabobo 2 - 0 Blooming

River Plate

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 1, 2026 1.30am
Bragantino 0 - 1 River Plate

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Carabobo had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Carabobo win was 1-0 (10.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

Carabobo 32.46% (-0.05)
Draw 27.24% (+0.05)
River Plate 40.3%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.13% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.95% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 32.05% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 41.89% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 58.11% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 20.74% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 79.26% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 10.9% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 89.1% (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Carabobo 26.01% (-0.02)
Draw 50.37% (-0.06)
River Plate 23.61% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Carabobo 45.81% (+0.04)
No Goal 9.76% (+0.03)
River Plate 44.43% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 46.16% (-0.41)
Equal 8 12.53% (-0.17)
Under 8 41.31% (+0.58)
Over 9 34.52% (-0.20)
Equal 9 11.64% (-0.20)
Under 9 53.84% (+0.41)
Over 10.5 24.61% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 75.39% (+0.02)

Carabobo Goals

Over 1.5 28.42% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 71.58% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 9.38% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 90.62% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 2.51% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.49% (+0.01)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 68.95% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.05% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 34.75% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 65.25% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.65% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.35% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.29% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.71% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Carabobo 32.46%
Draw 27.23%
River Plate 40.31%
Carabobo
1-0 @ 10.61% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.15% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.95%
3-1 @ 2.48% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.25% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.48% (-0.03)
Total : 32.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 9.76% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.03% (+0.01)
Total : 27.23%
River Plate
0-1 @ 11.68% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.38%
0-2 @ 7.23% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.4% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.37% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.26% (-0.03)
Total : 40.31%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 2
Apr 16, 2026 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Mâs Monumental
  • Aníbal Moreno 18' yellowcard
  • Sebastián Driussi 46' yellowcard
  • Tomás Galván 46' yellowcard
  • Kendry Páez 51' yellowcard
  • Sebastián Driussi 66' goal
  • Marcos Acuña 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yohandry Orozco 72'
  • yellowcard Loureins Martínez 72'
  • yellowcard Edson Tortolero 72'
  • yellowcard Dimas Meza 88'